Before, it was a little difficult to say anything, but now that the president's intentions are more apparent,
I'd like to share my political imagination, which I've only thought about without any basis.
1 Moon Jae-in Demonization
After the presidential election, organized and systematic demonization of Moon Jae-in began. The planned attack seems certain, and it may not stop there but could escalate to include investigations.
Kim Eo-jun's continued claim that a conspiracy is being orchestrated through public-private partnerships suggests an intention to seek grounds for investigation rather than mere demonization.
Appointing Yoo Si-min as the prime ministerial candidate seems like a ploy to conduct a thorough background check and find weaknesses under the pretext of this.
The government's desire to grant prosecutorial investigative powers likely stems from its intention to target Moon Jae-in.
While personal feelings from the Moon Jae-in administration may play a role, it appears there is another more concrete objective behind these actions.
2 Expansion of Scope
Even though the ruling party holds 180 seats and can pass any law if they wish, they are deliberately targeting conservatives and talking about expanding their scope. This suggests that their goal is constitutional amendment, which requires more than 180 lawmakers.
By attacking the democratic reform faction, which favors a presidential system, and demonizing presidential candidates, they aim to create an impression among the general public that there are no suitable candidates for the next presidency. This would make constitutional amendment more favorable.
3 Lee Jae-myung's Presidential Re-election
Lee Jae-myung's presidential re-election is not a spontaneous keyword but a planned project.
To achieve re-election through constitutional amendment, wouldn't it require amending the constitution to allow incumbent presidents to seek re-election? This is an impossible condition for the opposition party to accept. However, becoming prime minister after a cabinet system amendment is politically feasible.
There are no restrictions on former presidents becoming prime ministers in a cabinet system, and there are countries with cabinet systems where even non-parliamentary members can become prime ministers. If his approval rating remains high at that time, he could advocate for re-election as prime minister after leaving office and push for constitutional amendment.
The opposition party may also see this as an opportunity if they support a cabinet system. There is a good chance they would accept it.
Since the appointment of the cabinet prime minister is solely through a parliamentary election, factional influence is crucial.
From the beginning of the administration, the pro-Lee Jae-myung faction has been actively recruiting members and showcasing their power, suggesting that this was planned from the outset.
4 Kim & Chang
The fact that the chief presidential secretary is consecutively from Kim & Chang is not a coincidence. It raises suspicion of communication between the government and Kim & Chang.
If constitutional amendment is indeed the goal, Kim & Chang would be the ideal place to secretly draft the amendment bill and engage in discussions with the opposition party.
I believe that the current political landscape is a build-up towards a cabinet system. Although I have no concrete evidence yet, I will continue to observe closely.