Hello. I'm a game developer.
Due to my laziness, I wondered if there was a bot to receive major economic indicators, so I made one myself.
While making it, I wanted it to be a bot that checks according to the logic of "Ray Dalio's Big Cycle" that I discussed with a close senior last year-end, so I tried to incorporate that concept. The daily and weekly reports are complete and running well, and it seems the monthly and quarterly reports will be updated within a week.
I made it just for myself, but I thought it might be helpful to others as well, so I put the bot in a Telegram chat room. If you're interested, come join us~
Telegram Room https://t.me/+zpBzyABUVdplZmM1
Inspired by Ray Dalio's Big Cycle Causal Logic - Constant Monitoring of 21 Macro Indicators
1. Daily Briefing (Tactical) (Sent daily Mon-Sun around 9 AM Korea time)
Purpose: Summary focusing on daily fluctuating prices, volatility, and sentiment indicators (noise minimization)
Included Indicators:
- Liquidity and Real-time Rates:
Federal Funds Rate (Fed_Rate), 10Y Real Yield (Real_Yield), Fed Balance Sheet (Fed_Balance_Sheet)
- Real-time Volatility and Sentiment:
VIX, MOVE Index, EPU Index, High Yield Spread (HY_Spread)
- Currency and Commodities:
WTI Crude Oil (Oil), Gold (Gold), Dollar Index (DXY)
- Major Assets and Markets:
S&P 500, Bitcoin (BTC), Crypto Fear & Greed Index (Crypto_FNG), KRW/USD Exchange Rate (USD/KRW)
2. Weekly Indicator Summary (Weekly Strategy) (Sent Sunday around 9 AM)
Purpose: Mechanical phase diagnosis and investment risk matrix review through WoW/MoM volatility analysis
Included Indicators:
- Monthly Macro Changes (MoM):
CPI, Unemployment Rate, PMI, EPU
- Weekly Market and Liquidity Changes (WoW):
Fed Assets, Real Rates, VIX, MOVE, Term Spread (10Y-2Y, 10Y-3M), S&P 500, BTC, Exchange Rate
Separately Included Risk Matrix: 3-level threshold (Normal/Caution/Risk) evaluation criteria for all 21 key indicators
3. Monthly Big Cycle Report (Strategic)
Purpose:
Macroeconomic causality and Ray Dalio-style system cycle diagnosis through 7 Pillars
Included Indicators:
- Growth & Inflation: CPI, Unemployment Rate, PMI, GDPNow
- Liquidity: Fed Assets (WALCL), TGA Balance, RRP Balance, M2 Money Supply
- Credit: High Yield Spread, NFCI (Chicago Fed Financial Conditions Index)
- Rates: Federal Funds Rate, 10Y Nominal Rate, 10Y Real Rate, Term Spread
- FX & Hard Assets: Dollar Index, Gold, WTI Crude Oil
- Risk Sentiment: VIX, MOVE Index
- Asset Price: S&P 500, Bitcoin
4. Quarterly Accountability and Event Roadmap (Roadmap) (Upcoming)
Asset Class Seasonality and Structural Event (Elections, Earnings, etc.) Roadmap
