Since the downward signal last week, semiconductor stock prices have been steadily plummeting -> technically rebounding -> adjusting.
Of course, there's nothing particularly different about Nasdaq either.
Recently, a new characteristic has emerged... There seems to be a big change in semiconductor stocks between 11 am and 12 pm.
When prices fall, leveraged investors who have been watching the market tend to pour in between 11 am and 12 pm...
And when prices rise, individual shareholders who hold stocks tend to sell their shares before lunch, around 11 am to 12 pm, and suddenly move to leverage.
Today, too, a big turning point occurred between 11 am and 12 pm... It seems that leverage was thrown and individual stocks were bought.
Institutional buying = Leverage boarding
Institutional selling = Individual stock boarding
That's the feeling.
As a result, tremendous volatility has arisen... and the roller coaster angle seems to have become steeper. It feels like 5 times more volatile than the US Nasdaq.
Fortunately, semiconductor stocks took a break today, but other sectors closed higher. (Of course, it's going down after the news that Iran won't negotiate ㅠㅠ)
Heat is returning to other sectors, so it doesn't seem like a major crash will happen,
but with the recent events created by Trump,
I often wonder when I should buy... and if I should buy at all...
It seems like Thursday will be a turning point
with the CPI announcement ahead, and the US interest rate decision also looming, it's not an easy time to make a decision.
At times like this, I envy those who have cash...
Personally, if there is more news about the progress of negotiations between Iran and the US, semiconductor stocks are likely to rise again. If the CPI comes out as predicted (lower than last month), I expect some gains.
However, if the CPI rises significantly or Iran and the US completely break down and Iran launches missiles, there will be a big drop. If news breaks that an oil field has exploded, oil prices will rise and there will be a major crash. In the worst case scenario, KOSPI may fall to the mid-6,000s.
Even if it rises, I expect a volatile market with ups and downs next week.
I think that until Micron's earnings announcement, prices will continue to fluctuate significantly. It seems better to refrain from leveraged investments that are downward sloping.
At times like this, I'll try to calmly pick up some stocks from the bottom... I think I'll slowly start buying AI-driven stocks.
