Saturday, September 12, 2026

We gather and organize daily conversations from the stock telegram channel.

New York stock market rebounded in 5 days as rate hike became certain

U.S. August consumer inflation was 3.4% year-over-year and 0.4% month-over-month, matching expectations. Core inflation, excluding food and energy, was 2.4% year-over-year, meeting expectations, but 0.29% month-over-month, exceeding the expected 0.2%. Energy rose 2.10%, the largest component of headline increases, while wireless phone services rose 5.90%, airfares 2.68%, and hotel lodging 2.36%, pushing up core inflation. Computers and peripherals jumped 3.8%, with analysis that memory prices are being passed on to consumers. Conversely, owner-occupied housing and rental costs slowed.

Following the announcement, the probability of a 25bp rate hike in September rose from 72% to 85%, with some in the market viewing it near 90%. The 2-year yield exceeded 4.6% and the 10-year was 4.96%. Short-term yields rose while long-term yields fell. Wall Street Journal's Nick Timiraos wrote that investors are virtually certain the Fed will raise rates for the first time in three years next week, but few Fed officials believe one hike is sufficient to control inflation, making what comes after the more difficult issue.

Nevertheless, the New York stock market rose in five days. The Dow rose 0.98%, Nasdaq 0.96%, S&P500 0.86%, and the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index rose 1.81%. Analysis circulating in the channel noted that the market, which had been pre-pricing the hike, rose as the inflation report confirmed the hike, removing ambiguity. September consumer sentiment index fell significantly to 47.8 from 51.7 the previous month, with consumers viewing rising oil prices and trade tensions as increasing household burdens.

Oil prices and interest rates fell as Houthis declared safe navigation

Yemen's Houthi rebels issued a statement Friday night Korean time, announcing that navigation is safe for all shipping company vessels except Saudi Arabian ships subject to existing navigation bans. On the same day, there was also breaking news that Houthis have taken control of the entire Red Sea coast of Yemen. Two U.S. government officials stated that the U.S. has no intention to attack the Houthis at this time.

Under Oman's mediation, Iran and foreign ministers from the six Gulf Cooperation Council countries will meet for the first time on the 14th to discuss transit through the Strait of Hormuz. This is the first time high-level officials have gathered in one place since the February war. Following these developments, oil prices and government bond yields plummeted, and KOSPI overnight futures fell sharply before rebounding. However, Iran's parliamentary speaker said Iran will not negotiate with the U.S. until Iran's conditions are met, and Saudi Arabia's Energy Ministry blocked the east-west pipeline carrying Persian Gulf crude following consecutive drone attacks from Iraq as a precautionary measure.

DeepSeek's new model uses only a quarter of HBM

DeepSeek announced that its new model V4.1-Flash applies a new architecture, requiring only a quarter of high-bandwidth memory and an eighth of SSD compared to the previous generation. Over concerns that artificial intelligence memory demand may slow, SanDisk fell 3.50%, Western Digital 2.98%, and Seagate 3.73%. Micron declined only 0.22%, while SK Hynix's U.S. ADR recovered the previous day's decline to rise 0.94%.

Analysis in the channel suggested this differs from past DeepSeek shocks. The theory is that reduced data center input costs improve efficiency, enhancing profitability of AI investment companies and potentially accelerating industry growth. Power grid-related stocks rose on Microsoft's data center expansion plans and this efficiency logic, with GE Vernova up 3.61%, Eaton 3.96%, Quantumscape 5.15%, and Bloom Energy 6.68%. In contrast, NuScale Power fell 15.67% on downgrade citing construction schedule uncertainty and customer shortage, while Oshkosh fell 9.18% on dilution concerns from a $1 billion public offering. Chinese AI semiconductor company Enflame rose 179% on its first trading day.

Nvidia negotiating to invest $10 billion as anchor investor in Anthropic's IPO

Anthropic is negotiating with Nvidia to serve as anchor investor in what could be the largest IPO in history, Reuters reported. Nvidia is reviewing an investment of up to $10 billion, and discussions are ongoing privately and subject to change. Anthropic aims to raise up to $100 billion to achieve a valuation of approximately $2 trillion and expects to go public before the November U.S. midterm elections.

Anthropic raised $65 billion in May, with a valuation of $965 billion at the time. Annualized revenue grew from approximately $900 million at the end of 2025 to over $65 billion by late July 2026, and the company projects 2028 revenue at $190 billion to $200 billion. Despite heavy dependence on Nvidia GPUs, the company is diversifying suppliers by committing to spend over $100 billion with Amazon Web Services over 10 years and adding several gigawatts of TPUs from Google and Broadcom.

Samsung Electro-Mechanics' MLCC revenue expected to exceed 8 trillion won in 2027

Analysis circulating suggests Samsung Electro-Mechanics' multilayer ceramic capacitor revenue will grow from 4.71 trillion won in 2025 to 6.51 trillion won this year to 8.24 trillion won in 2027, an increase of 3.5 trillion won in two years. Three major orders for AI server MLCCs announced this year combined total 1.82 trillion won, with all three beginning full supply from 2027.

The first half operating rate was 91%, and the average selling price increased by 13.9%. In the fourth quarter, TrendForce's aggregation noted that Samsung Electro-Mechanics is leading price increases against global OEMs on general-purpose products from 25% to 30% and high-value AI server products from 10% to 20%. The fact that Murata, ranked first, notified discontinuation across nine product categories including general-purpose, automotive, and RF was discussed as the background for alternative orders shifting to Taiwan, China, and Samsung Electro-Mechanics.

Other Matters

There was a report that Micron is giving employees bonuses equivalent to 35 to 68 months of salary to prevent workforce attrition and production disruptions in Taiwan. Some employees receive approximately $32,000 in cash. There was an exclusive report that Poongsan has localized small attack drones that previously relied on imports.

Next week's schedule is packed. On the 14th, the Korea Exchange's after-market opens and all stocks are traded until 8 PM. The Fed meetings on the 15th and 16th will result in an announcement at 3 AM Korean time on the 17th, and on the 16th there will be a procedural vote on the Virtual Asset Clarity Act in the US Senate. From the 15th to the 17th, an AI Infrastructure Summit will be held with participation from Samsung Electronics, SK Hynix, Micron, and NVIDIA, and on the 18th the Bank of Japan is likely to raise rates, while the same day marks US futures and options simultaneous expiration. This weekend, there will be a BRICS summit with attendance by Xi Jinping, Putin, and Iran's president.

Among US stocks, NVIDIA was mentioned the most, followed by Apple, TSMC, and Oracle.

Data Included in This Article

Source: hatzze.fun/kadera

※ Mention volume and aggregation are merely expressions of what is being discussed and how much, are for entertainment and reference purposes, and are not buy/sell signals. We do not verify the accuracy of rumors.

▶ Original source: https://hatzze.fun/