KDI "올해 성장률 전망치 3.2%, 0.7%p↑…체감경기 확산은 미진"(종합) | 연합뉴스
KDI Raises Growth Outlook to 3.2%, Up 0.7 Percentage Points... Spread of Economic Sentiment Remains Limited (Comprehensive) | Yonhap News
KDI Proyeksi Pertumbuhan Ekonomi Tahun Ini 3,2%, Naik 0,7%p... Penyebaran Sentimen Ekonomi yang Lesu Masih Terbatas (Kompilasi) | Yonhap News
한국개발연구원(KDI)은 올해 한국 경제 성장률 전망치를 3.2%로 상향 조정했습니다. 이는 글로벌 반도체 수요 증가와 설비투자 확대로 인한 것입니다. 하지만 고용 유발 효과가 낮은 반도체 부문에 성장이 집중되면서 올해 취업자 수 증가 폭 전망치는 11만명으로 크게 감소했습니다. KDI는 높은 성장률에도 불구하고 체감 경기 개선은 미진하다고 지적하며, 기준금리 2% 중반보다 높게 유지해야 한다고 주장했습니다. 또한 향후 글로벌 반도체 수요 변동성, 미국의 관세 정책 불확실성 등을 경제의 주요 위험 요인으로 꼽았습니다.
The Korea Development Institute (KDI) raised its forecast for Korea's economic growth rate to 3.2% this year. This is due to the increase in global semiconductor demand and expansion of capital investment. However, as growth is concentrated in the semiconductor sector, which has a low employment generation effect, the outlook for the increase in the number of employed persons this year has significantly decreased to 110,000. Despite the high growth rate, KDI pointed out that the improvement in the perceived economy is limited and argued that the benchmark interest rate should be maintained at a level higher than the mid-2% range. It also cited future volatility in global semiconductor demand and uncertainty in US tariff policies as major risk factors for the economy.
Korea Development Institute (KDI) menaikkan proyeksi pertumbuhan ekonomi Korea tahun ini menjadi 3,2%. Hal ini disebabkan oleh meningkatnya permintaan semikonduktor global dan perluasan investasi modal. Namun, karena pertumbuhan terkonsentrasi di sektor semikonduktor yang efek penciptaan lapangan kerjanya rendah, proyeksi peningkatan jumlah pengangguran tahun ini turun drastis menjadi 110.000 orang. KDI menunjukkan bahwa meskipun tingkat pertumbuhan tinggi, perbaikan ekonomi yang dirasakan masih minim dan berpendapat bahwa suku bunga acuan harus dipertahankan di atas pertengahan 2%. Selain itu, mereka mengidentifikasi volatilitas permintaan semikonduktor global dan ketidakpastian kebijakan tarif Amerika Serikat sebagai faktor risiko utama bagi perekonomian.
